| VA: Kaine 52% Kilgore 46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Survey of 861 Voters November 8, 2005
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November 9, 2005--Democrat Tim Kaine was elected as Governor of Virginia in an election where 49% of voters said they were most interested in issues of Economic Growth and Fairness. [NOTE: CrossTabs Available for Premium Members] Kaine trailed by six points over the summer, moved to within three points in mid-September and was tied with Republican Jerry Kilgore at the end of September. Kaine moved ahead for the first time two weeks before Election Day. A Rasmussen Reports election poll at that time found him leading by two points. His lead grew to three points a week later and Kaine's momentum continued through Election Day. A Rasmussen Reports Election Night survey found that those who made their final decision in the last days of the campaign favored Kaine by a 56% to 41% margin. This is particularly significant since 50% of those who made up their mind late in the game were Republicans. Twelve percent (12%) of all voters say they made their final decision on Monday or Tuesday. Kaine won by a 56% to 42% margin among with a primary interest in issues of economic growth and fairness. Kilgore won a majority of those who considered national defense, homeland security, cultural issues, tax issues, and immigration issues most important. Kilgore earned 46% of the vote in the first Rasmussen Reports poll in the campaign last June. Only once in nine pre-election polls did he move above that level. [More Below]
An earlier Rasmussen Reports survey showed that a Kilgore ad on the death penalty issue may have hurt him more than it helped. Kaine clearly benefited from his relationship with current Governor, Mark Warner. Warner holds a 73% Job Approval Rating among those who voted yesterday. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome. During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The telephone survey of 861 Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 8, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. |
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