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  73% Say Roberts Confirmation Likely

Survey of 1,000 Adults

August 19-20, 2005

How likely is it that John Roberts will be confirmed by the Senate and serve on the Supreme Court?

Very Likely 42%
Somewhat Likely 31%
Not Very Likely 11%
Not at All Likely 1%

RasmussenReports.com



 

August 22, 2005--Seventy-three percent (73%) of Americans believe Judge John Roberts is likely to be confirmed. That's up slightly from 69% at the end of July.

Just 12% say confirmation is not likely, including 1% who say Roberts is "not at all likely" to be confirmed.

The results show why some Senate Democrats consider the confirmation debate a risky balancing act according to New York Times.  According to the Times, "Failing to press [Roberts] could look weak to [the Democrats] liberal base. But attacking too hard could draw Democrats into a losing battle on the treacherous turf of abortion, race and religion..."

[More Below]



Overall, the numbers have changed very little during the month of August.

Eighty percent (80%) of Republicans consider Roberts' confirmation likely. That view is shared by 69% of Democrats and 65% of those not affiliated with either major party.

Forty percent (40%) of Americans believe Roberts should be confirmed while 21% disagree. In a survey conducted immediately after his nomination, those numbers were 43% and 17% respectively.

Republicans, by a 63% to 10% margin, believe Roberts should be approved. Unaffiliateds lean in that same direction by a 31% to 17% margin.

Democrats were initially evenly divided on the Roberts nomination. Now, 35% of Democrats are opposed to his confirmation while 23% are in favor of it.

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Americans have a favorable opinion of Judge Roberts. Twenty-two percent (21%) have an unfavorable opinion.

Fifty-three percent (53%) say that they are following news stories on the Roberts confirmation somewhat or very closely.

Demographic cross-tabs are available for Premium Members.

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Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 19-20, 2005.  Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Respondents were Republicans and 37% were Democrats. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology)



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