November 12, 2005--Unlike the
Democrats, there is no clear
frontrunner for the Republican Party's 2008 Presidential nomination.
Three candidates, former New York Mayor
Rudy Giuliani, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, and Senator John
McCain all are favored by more than 20% of GOP voters. Former House
Speaker Newt Gingrich and Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist are the
only other Republicans to reach the 5% level of support.
McCain is the leader among the minority
of Republicans with an unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush.
If the three leading candidates do not
run, "Not Sure" takes over the Republican lead at 30%. In that
scenario, Gingrich is the top choice for 27% of Republicans and
Frist is next at 11%.
Senator Chuck Hagel, Senator George
Allen, and Congressman Tom Tancredo were also included in the
survey. None of them reached the 5% level of support.
A plurality of Rice supporters favor
Gingrich if the Secretary of State is not in the running. A
plurality of both the McCain and Giuliani supporters move to the Not
New York Governor George Pataki attracts
more of Giuliani's vote than any other Republican.
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conducted earlier this year found both McCain and Giuliani leading
the Democrat's frontrunner Hillary Clinton.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 310 Democrats Likely to
Vote was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 8,
2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 6
percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).