August 29, 2005--Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Americans say
that it is important for "Iraq to become a stable company that
rejects terrorism." That figure includes 59% who say that
Iraqi stability if very important to the U.S. A
Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 14% say that objective is
not very important or not at all important.
While 79% agree with President Bush on the importance of the
Iraqi mission, just 48% believe that success is likely. In fact,
just 13% say achieving stability in Iraq is "very likely." The
public concerns about the War effort are primarily about competence,
Forty-four percent (44%) of all
Americans say U.S. success in Iraq is not likely.
Most interesting is that just 26% of
Americans have a firm opinion on the likelihood of Iraq becoming a
stable nation. These opinions are evenly divided and probably
resistant to change. However, two-thirds of Americans (66%) fall in
the middle saying that success is somewhat likely or not very
From a partisan perspective, most
Republicans, Democrats, and unaffiliateds agree on the importance of
the mission. However, they offer different assessments of its
potential to succeed.
Sixty-six percent (66%) of Republicans
believe it is likely that Iraq will achieve stability and reject
terrorism. That optimism is shared by just 38% of Democrats and 36%
of those not affiliated with either major party.
Collectively, the data confirms that the
ultimate political impact of the War in Iraq will depend upon
whether or not Iraq emerges as a relatively stable nation when
American troops come home. Rhetorical changes and challenges may
affect the interim political debate, but have little lasting impact.
Among those who believe that the mission
in Iraq is important, 58% believe it is likely to succeed. Among
those who say it is not important, just 13% expect it to succeed.
By a 5-to-1 margin (61% to 13%), those
who believe the mission is important believe that things will get
worse in Iraq if U.S. troops are withdrawn.
Those who believe our mission in Iraq is
not important take the opposite view--38% say Iraq will be better
off if U.S. troops are withdrawn now while 16% say they will get
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Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 27-28, 2005. The margin of
sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95%
level of confidence. 37% of survey respondents were Republican, 37%
Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)