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Survey of 500 Likely Voters July 20, 2005
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July 25, 2005--Pennsylvania may be hosting some of the most interesting political races in the country next year. Incumbent Democrat Ed Rendell holds a very modest lead over two potential challengers in his bid for re-election. Rendell leads former Pittsburgh Steelers star Lynn Swann by six percentage points--47% to 41%. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds that Rendell also holds a four point edge, 46% to 42%, over former Lt. Governor Bill Scranton III. The survey of 500 Likely voters has a 4.5 percentage point margin of sampling error. Swann attracts 26% of the African-American vote for the GOP ticket and splits the white vote with Governor Rendell. Scranton leads Rendell among white voters but has little support in the African-American community. The other big race in Pennsylvania next year is for the U.S. Senate. Incumbent Rick Santorum is living up to his reputation as the most vulnerable incumbent at this point in the 2006 election cycle. Looking ahead to Election 2008, 46% of Pennsylvania voters say they will vote for the Democrat’s nominee while 40% plan on voting for the GOP candidate. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Our publications provide real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value and interest. During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 20, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology) |
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