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September 19, 2005--In the race to be New Jersey's
next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's now leads Republican Doug Forrester by
eleven percentage
points. That's up from an eight point advantage for
Senator Corzine in August. In
July, Corzine held a
12-point lead.
The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll
finds that Senator Corzine attracting 47% of the Garden State vote while
Forester earns just 36%.
This is the third straight Rasmussen Reports election poll
showing declining support for Doug Forrester. Immediately after being
nominated, Forrester earned 40% of the statewide vote.
Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 41% of New
Jersey voters and unfavorably by 33%. That's a slight improvement for the
Democrat over the past month.
The numbers for Forrester are 34%
favorable and 26% unfavorable, unchanged from a month ago. It is very unusual for two statewide candidates
to have such low favorability ratings.
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Forty-nine percent (49%) of Likely Voters say
that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. That's
up from 47% a month ago. Six
percent (6%) say it is less corrupt while 37% believe the level of
corruption is typical of most other states.
Twenty-four percent (24%) say corruption will
decrease if Forrester is elected. Twelve percent (12%) say it will
increase.
Voters are evenly divided on the subject if
Corzine wins--23% think that will lead to more corruption and 20% to less.
Regardless of who wins, a majority of voters believe the level of
corruption will be unchanged.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 14, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.
President Bush has a 42% Job Approval rating
in
New Jersey. That's down from 44% a month ago and slightly below
his national Approval Ratings.
In an early look at 2008, 41% of New Jersey
voters plan to vote for a Democratic Presidential candidate. Thirty-five
percent (35%) will pull the GOP lever while 21% said it will depend upon
the candidates nominated by each party.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
To keep up with our latest releases, be
sure to visit the Rasmussen Reports Home Page.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 14, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of
confidence.
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