October 6, 2005--The race to be New Jersey's
next Governor is getting a bit closer. Democrat Jon Corzine's lead over Republican Doug Forrester
has slipped to single digits.
The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll
finds that Senator Corzine attracting 45% of the Garden State vote while
Forester earns 38%. That's the closest the race has been since the day
after both men emerged victorious from their party primaries.
Three weeks ago,
Corzine was ahead by
points, 47% to 36%. While Corzine has been ahead by generally comfortable
margins throughout the campaign, he has reached the 50% level of support
just once. In four other Rasmussen Reports surveys, Corzine has stayed
consistently in the 45% to 47% range.
Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 38% of New
Jersey voters. That's down from 41% in the previous survey. The numbers for Forrester are 31%
favorable and 27% unfavorable. That's also a bit lower than three weeks
It is very unusual for two statewide candidates
to have such low favorability ratings. This may explain why there is still
a fairly large pool of undecided voters (12%) at this late date in the
candidates for Governor are well-liked and very few voters remain
Fifty percent (50%) of Likely Voters say
that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. That's
up 49% in September and 47% in August. Five
percent (5%) say it is less corrupt while 40% believe the level of
corruption is typical of most other states.
Men in the state are evenly divided between
the candidates while women strongly favor Corzine. Among those with
children living at home, the candidates are also evenly divided.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans say
they will vote for their party's candidate. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of
Democrats will vote for their party nominee. Those figures are lower than
expected at this point in a campaign, further suggesting a lack of
enthusiasm for the candidates.
President Bush earns a 43% Approval Rating in
the state. That's little changed from September month ago and slightly
below his national Approval Ratings.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 4, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.
In an early look at 2008, 45% of New Jersey
voters plan to vote for a Democratic Presidential candidate. Thirty-six
percent (36%) will pull the GOP lever while 19% said it will depend upon
the candidates nominated by each party.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 4, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of