November 6, 2005--Democrat Jon Corzine's lead
has fallen to its smallest level ever over Republican Doug Forrester in the race to be New Jersey's
The final Rasmussen Reports poll
of Election 2005, conducted on Sunday night, finds Senator Corzine with
44% of the vote and Forrester with 39%. The margin of sampling error is
+/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Cross Tabs Available for Premium Members.
Twelve percent (12%) of voters are undecided
at this time. That's up from earlier surveys and extraordinarily high for
this point in a campaign. In our final
Virginia poll for
Election 2005, just 3% of voters are undecided. Some of those who are
currently undecided may simply stay home on Election Day.
Seventy-three percent (73%) of New Jersey
voters say they have read, seen, or heard news stories about comments made
by Corzine's ex-wife. Those comments were reported by the New York
Times and then played in a Forrester commercial over the weekend.
Of those who know about the comments, 31% say
they are somewhat or very important in terms of impacting their voting
decision. Sixty-eight percent (68%) say the comments are not very
important or not at all important.
Still, support for Corzine is now at the
lowest level of the campaign--down five points from 49%
two weeks ago. One
out of seven Democrats (15%) say they are not sure how they will vote or
say they will vote for a third-party option.
While support for Corzine is down, Forrester
still can't break through the 40% barrier. In fact, he has only reached
40% of the vote twice in the seven election polls released by Rasmussen
Reports this year.
Opinions of both Forrester and Corzine have
fallen over the past two weeks. Forrester is viewed favorably by 37% of
New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 42%. For Corzine, the numbers are
even more negative--36% favorable and 47% unfavorable.
The survey found that 5% of voters say they
will vote for someone other than Forrester or Corzine. It is highly
unlikely that other candidates will attract such a large share of the
vote. However, this reflects general dissatisfaction with the major party
Property taxes are considered the most
important issue by 43% of New Jersey voters. That was the top issue two
weeks ago. Corruption moved into second place among concerns of New Jersey
voters. It was named most important by 21% of those in the Garden State.
No other issue reached double digits.
On the issue of taxes, 37% trust Forrester
more than Corzine. Thirty-five percent (35%) take the opposite view while
28% say they don't trust either man.
On economic growth, 41% trust Corzine more,
34% trust Forrester, and 19% say neither.
When it comes to corruption, 36% trust
Forrester more, 27% Corzine, and 31% neither.
It is interesting to note that preferences on
those issues have changed little over the past two weeks.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of New Jersey voters
Approve of the way President Bush is handling his job. Sixty percent
Disapprove. Those numbers are a bit lower than his national
Job Approval Ratings.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
To keep up with our latest releases, be
sure to visit the Rasmussen Reports Home Page.
|Sign up for
our free Weekly Update|
This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 6, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of