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July 15, 2005--A month after New Jersey's
Republican Primary determined his opponent, Democrat Jon Corzine has built
a twelve percentage point lead over Republican Doug
Forrester.
Corzine attracts 50% of the vote to 38% for
Forrester. Four percent (4%) of voters say they will opt for some other
candidate while 8% are not sure.
A month
ago, Corzine was ahead by seven points, 47% to 40%.
Forrester is struggling to solidify the
support of New Jersey's conservative voters, just 63% of whom currently
plan to vote for the GOP nominee. A month ago, he had 74% support from
thes voters.
By way of comparison, 83% of liberal voters in
the Garden State support Corzine. That's up from 73% a month ago.
Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 40% of New
Jersey voters and unfavorably by 35%. The numbers for Forrester are 36%
favorable and 29% unfavorable.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on July 14, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Thirty-nine percent of respondents were Democrats, 31% Republican.
Former Governor Jim McGreevey, who resigned
last year, is viewed
favorably by 33% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 54%.
Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters see
Forrester as politically conservative while 39% see him as moderate.
Forty-one percent (41%) see Corzine as
politically liberal while 37% see him as moderate.
President Bush has a 45% Job Approval rating
in
New Jersey, slightly below
his national Approval Ratings.
In a generic look at Election 2008, 51% of
Garden State voters say they are likely to vote for a Democratic
Presidential candidate. Thirty-six percent (36%) say they are likely to
vote for a Republican.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of
confidence.
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