November 9, 2005--In a fitting end to a nasty
campaign, Democrat Jon Corzine was elected Governor of New Jersey even
though just 45% of New Jersey voters had a favorable opinion of him. An
equal number had an unfavorable number according to a Rasmussen Reports
Election Night poll.
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Corzine was ahead in every single Rasmussen
Reports poll this season, with leads ranging from a low of 4 percentage
points to a high of 13 points.
The most unusual aspect of the race was the
final week when Corzine's wife had some unflattering things to say about
her ex and Forrester turned this into a campaign commercial. This appeared
to create some doubts among Corzine supporters as his lead slipped to 5
percentage points two
days before the Election.'
In that survey, however, there were an
unusually large number of undecideds (including 15% of Democrats). On
Election Day, these voters came home to their party. Fifteen percent (15%)
of all voters made their final decision on the last day or two of the
campaign and Corzine earned 57% of those vote to 38% for Forrester.
While voters had doubts about Corzine, they
had even more doubts about his opponent. Only 38% of Garden State voters
had a favorable opinion of Doug Forrester while 43% held an unfavorable
view. Among those who decided at the last minute, just 22% had a favorable
opinion of the Republican candidate.
Voters gave Acting Governor Richard Codey a
71% Job Approval Rating, nearly as high as the figures for outgoing
Governor Warner in
Virginia. President Bush had a 40% Job Approval Rating among NJ voters
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public opinion polling information.
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point of the actual outcome.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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This survey of 1,042 Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 8, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of