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NJ Governor--Corzine 45% Forrester 37%

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

August 7, 2005 

Election 2005

New Jersey Governor

Corzine (D) 45%
Forrester (R) 37%
Other 5%



August 8, 2005--In the race to be New Jersey's next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's lead has shrunk to single digits. Senator Corzine now leads Republican Doug Forrester by eight percentage points, 45% to 37%.

In July, Corzine held a 12-point lead.  Since then, the Garden State Senator's support has dipped five percentage points, from 50% in July to 45% today. Forrester's numbers have held steady--38% last month, 37% now.

It's interesting to note that both candidates have slightly less support in this poll than they did the night after they were nominated in a statewide primary. This is the opposite of a normal campaign trend where candidate support increases as undecided voters gradually shift to one camp or the other.

Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 39% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 37%. The numbers for Forrester are 34% favorable and 26% unfavorable. For both men, those figures are a bit more negative than a month ago. It is very unusual for two statewide candidates to have such low favorability ratings.

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Forty-seven percent (47%) of Likely Voters say that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. Six percent (6%) say it is less corrupt while 41% believe the level of corruption is typical of most other states.

Still, 34% of voters named property taxes as the most important issue in the campaign. Just 18% named corruption.

Forced to make a choice between reducing property taxes and cleaning up corruption, voters were evenly divided. 48% named cleaning up corruption as more important while 44% said reducing property taxes was a higher priority.

Additional issues related data is available.

The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.

President Bush has a 44% Job Approval rating in New Jersey, slightly below his national Approval Ratings.

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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2005.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Election 2005

New Jersey Governor

  Corzine Forrester
August 7 45% 37%
July 14 50% 38%
June 8 47% 40%


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