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August 8, 2005--In the race to be New Jersey's
next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's lead has shrunk to single digits.
Senator Corzine now leads Republican Doug Forrester by eight percentage
points, 45% to 37%.
In
July, Corzine held a
12-point lead. Since then, the Garden State Senator's support has
dipped five percentage points, from 50% in July to 45% today. Forrester's
numbers have held steady--38% last month, 37% now.
It's interesting to note that both candidates
have slightly less support in this poll than they did the night after they
were nominated in a statewide
primary. This is the opposite of a normal campaign trend where candidate
support increases as undecided voters gradually shift to one camp or the
other.
Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 39% of New
Jersey voters and unfavorably by 37%. The numbers for Forrester are 34%
favorable and 26% unfavorable. For both men, those figures are a bit more
negative than a month ago. It is very unusual for two statewide candidates
to have such low favorability ratings.
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Forty-seven percent (47%) of Likely Voters say
that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. Six
percent (6%) say it is less corrupt while 41% believe the level of
corruption is typical of most other states.
Still, 34% of voters named property taxes as
the most important issue in the campaign. Just 18% named corruption.
Forced to make a choice between reducing
property taxes and cleaning up corruption, voters were evenly divided. 48%
named cleaning up corruption as more important while 44% said reducing
property taxes was a higher priority.
Additional
issues related data is
available.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.
President Bush has a 44% Job Approval rating
in
New Jersey, slightly below
his national Approval Ratings.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of
confidence.
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