August 8, 2005--In the race to be New Jersey's
next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's lead has shrunk to single digits.
Senator Corzine now leads Republican Doug Forrester by eight percentage
points, 45% to 37%.
July, Corzine held a
12-point lead. Since then, the Garden State Senator's support has
dipped five percentage points, from 50% in July to 45% today. Forrester's
numbers have held steady--38% last month, 37% now.
It's interesting to note that both candidates
have slightly less support in this poll than they did the night after they
were nominated in a statewide
primary. This is the opposite of a normal campaign trend where candidate
support increases as undecided voters gradually shift to one camp or the
Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 39% of New
Jersey voters and unfavorably by 37%. The numbers for Forrester are 34%
favorable and 26% unfavorable. For both men, those figures are a bit more
negative than a month ago. It is very unusual for two statewide candidates
to have such low favorability ratings.
Forty-seven percent (47%) of Likely Voters say
that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. Six
percent (6%) say it is less corrupt while 41% believe the level of
corruption is typical of most other states.
Still, 34% of voters named property taxes as
the most important issue in the campaign. Just 18% named corruption.
Forced to make a choice between reducing
property taxes and cleaning up corruption, voters were evenly divided. 48%
named cleaning up corruption as more important while 44% said reducing
property taxes was a higher priority.
issues related data is
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.
President Bush has a 44% Job Approval rating
New Jersey, slightly below
his national Approval Ratings.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of