June 8, 2005--On the first day of New Jersey's
General Election campaign, Democrat Jon Corzine leads Republican Doug
Forrester by seven percentage points in the race for Governor.
Corzine attracts 47% of the vote to 40% for
Forrester. Five percent (5%) of voters say they will opt for some other
candidate while 8% are not sure.
Forrester may be enjoying a modest bounce
following his victory in Tuesday's primary. During Election 2004, John
Kerry temporarily gained a few points following each victory in a
Corzine is viewed favorably by 42% of New
Jersey voters and unfavorably by 36%. The numbers for Forrester are 38%
favorable and 28% unfavorable.
Former Governor Jim McGreevey, who resigned
last year, may be having an impact on the current race. He is viewed
favorably by 32% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 53%. Democrats
are evenly divided.
Among Democrats with an unfavorable
opinion of McGreevey, just 63% will vote for Corzine. Twenty-six percent
(26%) say they will vote for Forrester. Among other Democrats, Corzine
leads 81% to 7%.
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports on June 8, 2005. The margin of sampling
error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Thirty-nine percent of respondents were Democrats, 31% Republican.
Forrester leads 74% to 11% among conservative
voters. He also leads among married voters and Evangelical Christians.
Corzine leads 73% to 14% among liberal voters
and most other demographic groups.
Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters see
Forrester as politically conservative while 40% see him as moderate.
Forty-three percent (43%) see Corzine as
politically liberal while 32% see him as moderate.
President Bush is viewed favorably by 48% of
New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 51%. These figures are slightly below
his national Approval Ratings.
Forrester is attracting 65% of the votes from those who Approve of the
President's performance. Corzine gets 69% of the votes from those who
In a generic look at Election 2008, 48% of
Garden State voters say they are likely to vote for a Democratic
Presidential candidate. Thirty-six percent (36%) say they are likely to
vote for a Republican.
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This survey of 500 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 8, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of