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NJ Governor--Corzine 47% Forrester 40% | ||||||||||||||||
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Survey of 500 Likely Voters June 8, 2005
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June 8, 2005--On the first day of New Jersey's General Election campaign, Democrat Jon Corzine leads Republican Doug Forrester by seven percentage points in the race for Governor. Corzine attracts 47% of the vote to 40% for Forrester. Five percent (5%) of voters say they will opt for some other candidate while 8% are not sure. Forrester may be enjoying a modest bounce following his victory in Tuesday's primary. During Election 2004, John Kerry temporarily gained a few points following each victory in a competitive primary. Corzine is viewed favorably by 42% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 36%. The numbers for Forrester are 38% favorable and 28% unfavorable. Former Governor Jim McGreevey, who resigned last year, may be having an impact on the current race. He is viewed favorably by 32% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 53%. Democrats are evenly divided. Among Democrats with an unfavorable opinion of McGreevey, just 63% will vote for Corzine. Twenty-six percent (26%) say they will vote for Forrester. Among other Democrats, Corzine leads 81% to 7%. [More Below]
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on June 8, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Thirty-nine percent of respondents were Democrats, 31% Republican. Forrester leads 74% to 11% among conservative voters. He also leads among married voters and Evangelical Christians. Corzine leads 73% to 14% among liberal voters and most other demographic groups. Thirty-two percent (32%) of voters see Forrester as politically conservative while 40% see him as moderate. Forty-three percent (43%) see Corzine as politically liberal while 32% see him as moderate. President Bush is viewed favorably by 48% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 51%. These figures are slightly below his national Approval Ratings. Forrester is attracting 65% of the votes from those who Approve of the President's performance. Corzine gets 69% of the votes from those who disapprove. In a generic look at Election 2008, 48% of Garden State voters say they are likely to vote for a Democratic Presidential candidate. Thirty-six percent (36%) say they are likely to vote for a Republican. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Our publications provide real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value and interest. We provide daily updates on the economic confidence of Consumers and Investors. Our consumer data generally identifies trends two to six weeks ahead of traditional consumer confidence measures. To keep up with our latest releases, be sure to visit the Rasmussen Reports Home Page.
This survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 8, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. |
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