|Minnesota Senate: Looks Like a Close Race in 2006|
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
December 14, 2005
December 23, 2005--One-term Senator Mark Dayton (D) was on the vulnerable incumbents list well before he decided to retire rather than run for re-election. As a result, Republicans look to Minnesota as one of their best chances to pick up Senate seats in 2006.
At the moment, all indications point to a close campaign. The likely Republican candidate, Congressman Mark Kennedy, earns between 41% and 45% of the vote when matched against four possible Democratic challengers.
Kennedy leads two potential Democrats (Ford Bell and Mike Ciresi). He trails two others (Amy Klobuchar and Patty Wetterling). Klobuchar is generally considered the Democrats' frontrunner and she leads Kennedy 48% to 41%.
Given the large number of Democrats hoping to challenge Kennedy, this race remains clearly in the toss-up category.
Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Minnesota voters say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job when it comes to the economy. Forty-two percent (42%) say he is doing a poor job.
The President's ratings are a bit lower on the subject of Iraq--37% good or excellent and 50% poor.
In Minnesota, 62% view the situation in Iraq as a more important voting issue than immigration. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say immigration is more important. In Southwestern states like Nevada, immigration and Iraq are considered equally important.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports December 14, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).