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  Michigan Senate: Stabenow Leads All Challengers

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

November 29, 2005

Election 2006

Michigan Senator

Stabenow  (D) 49%
Bouchard (R) 33%
Other 4%
Not Sure 13%


Election 2006

Michigan Senator

Stabenow  (D) 52%
Butler  (R) 33%
Other 4%
Not Sure 12%


Election 2006

Michigan Senator

Stabenow  (D) 51%
Zandstra (R) 31%
Other 5%
Not Sure 12%



December 3, 2005--Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) attracts between 49% and 52% of the vote when matched against three Republican challengers in her bid for re-election. Stabenow leads the challengers by 16 -20 percentage point at this early stage of Election 2006.

Stabenow leads Oakland County Sheriff Michael Bouchard 49% to 33%. Bouchard recently re-entered the race after withdrawing for health reasons.

Keith Butler trails Stabenow by 19 percentage points, 52% to 33%. Before Bouchard's re-entry, Butler was considered the frontrunner on the GOP side of the aisle.

Jerry Zandstra trails Stabenow by 20 points, 51% to 31%.

[NOTE: CrossTabs and data on other questions are available for Premium Members.]

Rasmussen Reports will begin polling on Michigan's GOP primary competition in January.

Related survey data show Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm (D) with a twelve percentage point lead in her bid for re-election.

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Stabenow is viewed favorably by 57% of Michigan voters. None of her three Republican challengers tops the 35% mark at this time. In fact, between a quarter and a third of voters have no opinion on each of the Republican candidates.

Fifty percent (50%) of Michigan voters give President Bush "poor" marks for handling the economy. An identical percentage give him "poor" marks for handling the situation in Iraq.

In 2004, Rasmussen Reports final tracking poll for Michigan showed Senator John Kerry leading President George W. Bush by 4 percentage points (50% to 46%). Kerry won the state by 3 percentage points (51% to 48%).

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 28, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).

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