Survey of 500 Likely Voters
November 16, 2005
|Michael Steele (R)
|Ben Cardin (D)
|Michael Steele (R)
|Kweisi Mfume (D)
November 21, 2005--Democrats have gained a little
ground since summer in their efforts to hang on to a Senate seat in the
solid "Blue" State of Maryland.
Democratic Congressman Ben
Cardin leads Republican Lt. Governor Michael Steele by eight percentage
points in the race to replace retiring Senator Paul Sarbanes. Cardin
currently attracts support from 49% of Maryland voters while Steele is
supported by 41%.
In our previous Maryland
election poll, conducted in July,
Cardin led Steele by five percentage points, 45%-40%.
Another potential candidate
for the Democrats, Kweisi Mfume, gained even more ground since summer and
is now essentially tied with Steele. In a match-up with Mfume, Steele
earns 45% of the vote while the Democrat receives 44%.
In the July election poll, Steele led
Mfume by seven percentage points, 47% to 40%.
With Cardin as the Democrats' nominee,
Steele attracts 30% of the state's African-American vote. With Mfume as
the candidate, Steele trails 74% to 17% among African-Americans.
During 2006, Rasmussen Reports will poll every
Senate and Governor's race at least once a month. Competitive
races will be measured more often. This will include weekly and daily
updates in the fall of 2006 for key races. A summary of our latest
Election Polls can be found on the Rasmussen
Reports home page.
Steele is viewed favorably by 46% of Maryland voters and
unfavorably by 33%.
Thirty-six percent (36%) have a favorable opinion of Cardin
while 31% have an unfavorable opinion.
For Mfume, the numbers are 41% favorable and 43% unfavorable.
President Bush earns a 37% Job Approval Rating in Maryland.
It is unusual for a Republican to
be so competitive in such a solidly "Blue" state such as Maryland. Election 2004 confirmed
that geography rules in contests for the U.S. Senate.
Eight Senate seats changed from
one party to the other. Six of the eight were Republican victories
in Red States. One was a Democratic victory in the very Blue State
of Illinois. The only exception was Colorado where
Attorney General Ken Salazar narrowly defeated Republican
businessman Pete Coors. A Republican victory in Maryland would be
even more of a surprise.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public
opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling
firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both
Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the
top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many
visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has
been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
|Sign up for
our free Weekly Update|
The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted
by Rasmussen Reports November 16, 2005. The margin of sampling error
for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95%
level of confidence (see Methodology).
Rasmussen Reports Home
Bush Job Approval
Learn More About