July 21, 2005--Maryland Governor Bob
Ehrlich won his current job by narrowly defeating Kathleen Kennedy
Townsend in 2002. Early indications are that he will face another
tough election battle in 2006, regardless of who the Democrats
nominate as the challenger.
A Rasmussen Reports Election 2006 survey
finds that Ehrlich leads Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley by five
percentage points at this time. Ehrlich attracts 46% of the vote to
41% for O'Malley.
The race is even closer between the
Republican incumbent and Montgomery County Executive Doug Duncan.
Duncan earns 44% of the vote in that match-up to 43% for Ehrlich.
Ehrlich has a solid lead among male
voters over either Democrat. However, both Democrats lead Ehrlich
The margin of sampling error for the
full survey sample is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of
Other data shows that Maryland may also
enjoy a very competitive U.S. Senate
race in 2006.
Ehrlich is seen as politically
conservative by 50% of voters and moderate by another 30%.
O'Malley is seen as liberal by 45% and
moderate by 29%. For Duncan, the numbers are 29% liberal and 31%
Twenty-seven percent (27%) of Maryland
voters consider themselves politically conservative. Forty-seven
percent (47%) say they are moderate and 24% liberal.
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Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely
Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 18, 2005. The
margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points
with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology)