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  Maryland Governor: Ehrlich Trails Both Challengers

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

November 16, 2005

Election 2006

Maryland Governor

Bob Ehrlich (R) 40%
Martin O'Malley (D) 46%
Other 4%


Election 2006

Maryland Governor

Bob Ehrlich (R) 39%
Doug Duncan (D) 48%
Other 6%



November 22, 2005--Maryland Governor Bob Ehrlich trails two potential challengers in his bid for re-election according to the latest Rasmussen Reports Election 2006 poll.

A Rasmussen Reports Election 2006 survey finds that Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley leads Ehrlich by six percentage points at this time. O'Malley attracts 46% of the vote to 40% for Ehrlich.

Things were brighter for the incumbent in July. At that time, he lead O'Malley by five points.

In a match-up with Montgomery County Executive Doug Duncan, Ehrlich trails by nine points, 48% to 39%. Duncan had a one-point lead in July.

Democrats have gained ground in the Election 2006 race for Maryland's U.S. Senate seat as well.

During 2006, Rasmussen Reports will poll every Senate and Governor's race at least once a month. Competitive races will be measured more often. This will include weekly and daily updates in the fall of 2006 for key races. A summary of our latest Election Polls can be found on the Rasmussen Reports home page.

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The gains by Democrats in Maryland since summer reflect a national trend in favor of Howard Dean's party. About the only positive news for Republicans in the latest round of Rasmussen Reports election polls is that the elections are a year away.

Ehrlich is viewed favorably by 48% of Maryland voters and unfavorably by 37%.

Fifty-three percent (53%) have a favorable opinion of O'Malley while 28% have an unfavorable view.

For Duncan, the numbers are 39% favorable, 32% unfavorable.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 16, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).

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