January 27, 2005--Americans
are getting a bit less pessimistic about the situation in Iraq.
Thirty-one percent (31%)
of Americans now believe that the situation in Iraq will get better over
the next six months. That’s up from 28% earlier in the month. A
Rasmussen Reports survey of 1,000 adults also found that 45% take the
opposite view and believe things will get worse over the next six months.
That’s down from 50% in our
The most recent survey of
1,000 adults was completed on Monday and Tuesday, January 24 and 25, 2005.
Demographic details are available for
Seventy-six percent (76%)
of Americans believe that the elections in Iraq will be held as scheduled
this weekend. That’s up from 67% during the first week of January. Just
15% say that elections are "not very likely" or "not at all likely (down
from 25% who held that pessimistic view in the prior survey).
Both questions, found a
strong partisan divide. Republicans, by a 54% to 22% margin, believe that
the situation in Iraq will improve over the next six months. Democrats, by
an even larger 66% to 11% margin, believe things will get worse. As for
those not affiliated with either party, 27% say better and 45% worse.
As for the question of
Iraqi elections, 86% of Republicans say they are likely to be held on
time. That view is shared by 76% of unaffiliated voters and 66% of
Last fall, 33% of voters said that things were getting better in Iraq
while 43% said they were getting worse.
As documented in
The GOP Generation, the polarizing national security issues
dominated Election 2004.
The report notes
that, ironically, “The President’s policy
in Iraq and the larger War on Terror will begin to unify the
nation [over the next couple of years]... If the President’s
policies are working, a solid majority of voters will rally behind them.
If his policies are not working, a solid majority of voters will rally
against them. Either way, we will be moving towards unity.”
The recent survey,
however, found that the move towards unity has not yet begun. By a 69% to
18% margin, Republicans believe that the US mission in Iraq will
ultimately be considered a success. By a similar 74% to 13% margin,
Democrats say it will be judged a failure.
Republicans, by a 68% to
21% margin, believe the USA is safer today than it was before 9/11.
Democrats, by a 62% to 18% margin say the nation is not safer.
A separate survey found that Republicans tend to believe that
America's best days are yet to come. Democrats tend to believe they have
come and gone.
Reports recently released a 130 page special report on Election
GOP Generation documents how and why Republicans have the
potential to control both the House and the Senate for at least a
generation. It is "not the result of a single election… President
Bush is in a position to close a sale with American voters that was
first proposed by Ronald Reagan a generation ago...” Senate
Majority Leader Bill Frist says that “The GOP Generation
captures with clarity the dynamics that are propelling this
Republican era to staggering new heights.”
To keep up with our latest releases, be sure to visit
the Rasmussen Reports
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This survey of 1,000 Adults was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 24-25, 2005. The margin of
sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of