October 15, 2005--Sixty percent
(60%) of Americans say it is likely the Iraqi people will approve
the new nation's proposed constitution in a referendum today
(Saturday). A Rasmussen Reports survey finds that 21% say approval
is not very likely while 3% say it is not at all likely.
Voting is taking place amidst a new
round of bombings targeting supporters of the proposed constitution.
If the constitution is approved, 65% of
Americans say that the situation in Iraq will get better. That
figure includes 17% who say it will get much better and 48% who say
it will get a little better.
If the constitution is rejected, 70%
believe the situation in Iraq will get worse. This includes 27% who
way it will get much worse and 43% who say it will get a little
Just 23% of Americans are following this
news story very closely. Another 38% are following it somewhat
As with all questions on Iraq, there is
a significant perception gap along party lines. Seventy-three
percent (73%) of Republicans say approval of the constitution is
likely. That view is shared by 52% of Democrats.
Eighty-three percent (83%) of
Republicans say things will get better in Iraq if the constitution
is approved. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats agree.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 600 Adults was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 13-14,
2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3
percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 37% of survey
respondents were Republican, 37% Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)