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  60% Expect Iraqi People to Approve Constitution

Survey of 1,000 Adults

October 13-14, 2005

Will Iraqi Constitution Be Approved?

Very Likely 21%
Somewhat Likely 39%
Not Very Likely 21%
Not At All Likely 3%
Not Sure 15%


If Constitution Approved, Will Situation in Iraq get...

Much Better 17%
A Little Better 48%
A Little Worse 15%
Much Worse 7%
No Impact 4%


If Constitution Rejected, Will Situation in Iraq get...

Much Better 3%
A Little Better 12%
A Little Worse 43%
Much Worse 27%
No Impact 5%



October 15, 2005--Sixty percent (60%) of Americans say it is likely the Iraqi people will approve the new nation's proposed constitution in a referendum today (Saturday). A Rasmussen Reports survey finds that 21% say approval is not very likely while 3% say it is not at all likely.

Voting is taking place amidst a new round of bombings targeting supporters of the proposed constitution.

If the constitution is approved, 65% of Americans say that the situation in Iraq will get better. That figure includes 17% who say it will get much better and 48% who say it will get a little better.

If the constitution is rejected, 70% believe the situation in Iraq will get worse. This includes 27% who way it will get much worse and 43% who say it will get a little worse.

Just 23% of Americans are following this news story very closely. Another 38% are following it somewhat closely.


As with all questions on Iraq, there is a significant perception gap along party lines. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans say approval of the constitution is likely. That view is shared by 52% of Democrats.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Republicans say things will get better in Iraq if the constitution is approved. Fifty-six percent (56%) of Democrats agree.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

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The telephone survey of 600 Adults was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 13-14, 2005.  The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 37% of survey respondents were Republican, 37% Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)

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