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December 1, 2005--The race to replace
Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack might be one of the nation's more
interesting campaigns over the coming year.
Democrat Chet Culver leads Republican
Jim Nussle by 3 percentage points, 41% to 38%.
Congressman Nussle is in a slightly
better position when matched against two other Democratic
candidates--Mike Blouin and Patty Judge. Nussle leads both of those
candidate by 3 percentage points.
Still, with a year to go and a 4.5
percentage point margin of sampling error, the race must be
considered a toss-up at this time.
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will poll at least once a month in every Senate and Governors' race.
Our Election 2006 coverage will include more frequent measurement of
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Vilsack, the outgoing Governor with
Presidential aspirations, is viewed favorably by 61% of Iowa voters.
Nussle is viewed favorably by 49%, while 47% have that view of
Culver. For Blouin and Judge, the favorable ratings total 39% each.
Just 36% of Iowa voters give President
Bush good or excellent marks for handling the situation in Iraq.
Fourteen percent (14%) say fair while 50% say the President is doing
a poor job in Iraq.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of Iowa voters
say insuring a peaceful, free, and stable Iraq remains a higher
priority than bringing home the troops as soon as possible.
Forty-three percent (43%) take the opposite view and say getting the
troops home should be the top priority.
Nationally,
53% say bringing home the troops is more important.
When asked to choose whether Iraq or
immigration would be more important as a voting issue, 59% name Iraq
while 30% said immigration.
[NOTE:
CrossTabs
and data for other questions is available for
Premium Members.
Results are available by Age, Gender, Party, Religious Affiliation,
Bush Approval, Employment Status, and more.]
During Election 2004, Rasmussen Reports
projected that Bush and Kerry would end up tied in Iowa and they
ended up just half a percentage point apart. President Bush ended up
winning by 10,000 votes out of a million and a half.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November
28,
2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5
percentage points at the midpoint with a 95% level of confidence (see Methodology).
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