September 2, 2005--In hypothetical match-ups for the 2008
Presidential Election, Republicans Rudy Giuliani and John McCain
both are essentially even with Democrat Hillary Clinton.
A Rasmussen Reports survey finds Giuliani leading Clinton 42% to 39%
and McCain ahead of the Democrat 40% to 38%. An
earlier survey found
Clinton leading Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.
The survey highlights a major difficulty
facing McCain as he seeks the GOP nomination--he's not very popular
in his own party. Just 48% of Republicans have a favorable opinion
of McCain while 27% have an unfavorable view.
By way of comparison, among Republicans,
Giuliani is viewed favorably by a 63% to 17% margin.
Still, in an indication that Senator
Clinton is the defining candidate for this poll, 72% of Republicans
say that they would vote for McCain. Seventy-three percent (73%) say
they would vote for Giuliani.
Overall, among all Americans, McCain is viewed favorably by by 37%
and unfavorably by 31%. For Giuliani, the numbers are 45% favorable
and 27% unfavorable.
Hillary Clinton is viewed favorably by
42% and unfavorably by 43%. The
Hillary Meter has measured the New York Senator's efforts to
move to the political center this year. Currently, 28% of Americans
say they would definitely vote for her and 39% would definitely vote
Both Republicans lead Clinton among men and trail by a slightly
smaller margin among women.
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm
specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of
public opinion polling information.
Rasmussen Reports was the nation's most accurate
polling firm during the Presidential election and the only one to
project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage
point of the actual outcome.
During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was
also the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had
twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many
as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen
Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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The telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was
conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 29-30, 2005. The margin of
sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95%
level of confidence. 37% of survey respondents were Republican, 37%
Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)