War on Terror

48% Say bin Laden Likely to Be Caught

44% Disagree

Survey of 1,000 Adults

June 20-21, 2005

How likely is it that Osama bin Laden will be captured or killed within the next year?
Very Likely	19%
Somewhat Likely	29%
Not Very Likely	31%
Not at All Likely	13%
RasmussenReports.com

June 27, 2005--Forty-eight percent (48%) of Americans say it is somewhat or very likely that Osama bin Laden will be captured or killed within the next year. A Rasmussen Reports survey also found that 44% take the opposite view and believe it is not likely that the terrorist leader will be caught.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of men say it's likely bin Laden will be caught along with 43% of women.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Republicans say it's likely the terrorist will be caught. Just 35% of Democrats and 37% of those not affiliated with either major party share that optimism.

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Americans under 30 and those over 65 are most likely to think bin Laden's days of freedom are numbered.

Other recent surveys have shown the public to be evenly divided on the question of whether Saddam Hussein or President Bush is more responsible for starting the War with Iraq. Also, 70% of Americans believe that prisoners at Guantanamo Bay are treated adequately or better than they deserve.

Demographic details available for Premium Members.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

Our publications provide real-time information on consumer confidence, investor confidence, employment data, the political situation, and other topics of value and interest.

During Election 2004, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

The telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 20-21, 2005. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. 37% of survey respondents were Republican, 37% Democrat, and 26% unaffiliated (see Methodology)